The recent report of the Comptroller and Auditor General (C&AG) on the management of the Army’s stock of ammunition only authenticates what has been known all along. According to the report, the Army’s stock of ammunition kept dwindling between 2008-09 and 2012-13 despite efforts made by the Ministry of Defence (MoD) to arrest the slide.
Speaking at Nagpur last month, the Defence Minister said that the gap between the prescribed level of the war wastage reserve (WWR) and the available stock had been bridged to the extent of 50 per cent. And he added that the remaining shortage will be made up within the next year and a half.
In December 2014, a representative of the Army had informed the Standing Committee on Defence that there was a major deficiency in the stock of ammunition owing to inadequate capacity of the ordnance factories and the quality of indigenous ammunition as well as inadequate budget support for the ammunition road map (for building up the stock) sanctioned by the ministry in July 2013.
It would be astounding if, between December 2014 when the Standing Committee submitted its report and May 2015 when the minister made his statements, the situation had improved as dramatically as the defence minister’s statement suggests. It would be equally amazing if the deficiency gets wiped out in the next year and a half.
Be that as it may, there is little doubt that the present stock is nowhere near the prescribed level, according to which ammunition held as WWR must be available at any given point of time to sustain 40 days of intense two-front war. There is a need for a reality check.
A roadmap for making up the deficiency by up to 50 per cent of the authorized level by 2019 was approved by the ministry in July 2013 and a five-year indent was placed on the ordnance factory board (OFB). If past experience is anything to go by, it would be a grave error of judgment to be sanguine about production being in sync with this roadmap. For, a similar five-year roll-on indent was placed on the OFB in January 2010 also to supply mutually agreed quantities of various types of ammunition. But the annual budgetary support asked for by the OFB was much less than what it should have been asking for if it had to meet the corresponding production targets.
It is thus apparent that in 2010 the OFB accepted the responsibility it knew it could not discharge. It set up a seven-member committee to recommend measures for augmenting its capacities to meet the target but the committee’s report was never brought before the board.
History seems to be repeating itself. According to budget documents, the value of supplies made by ordnance factories to the Army in 2013-14 decreased by approximately INR 1,000 crore compared with the previous year’s figure. The revised estimates for 2014-15 show that although supplies picked up the final figure may be only marginally higher than the value of supplies made in 2012-13.
The performance of the OFB is critical for building up the stock of ammunition to the desired level. Between 80 to 90 per cent of the ammunition used by the Army is supplied by the ordnance factories. The remaining 10 to 20 per cent comes from other sources, mostly through imports. Repeated failure on the OFB’s part, for whatever reason, lies at the heart of the problem.
The problem is, however, not restricted to the inadequate supply of ammunition by the OFB. Go-ahead sanction was given in July 2013 for the import of ammunition in 17 cases, but as of December 2014 no contract had been signed against any one of them. Of various cases initiated for procurement of ammunition from other local sources, just about 20 per cent resulted in contracts being awarded. There is obviously something drastically wrong with the way procurement cases are being handled.
The C&AG has made several recommendations to tide over the problem. The most important of these is that the MoD should devise a mechanism to fully meet the Army’s requirement by taking into account the OFB’s capacity and the budget availability. MoD could consider the following steps to give effect to the C&AG’s recommendations:
In the long run, MoD will have to make sure that OFB delivers on its promise and no weapon system is purchased unless an arrangement is made for sustained supply of ammunition, not necessarily through the OFB. This implies involving the private sector in the production of ammunition, with the possible exception of ammunition for small arms. Policy and procedural impediments in purchase from indigenous and foreign sources also need to be removed. And, most importantly, MoD must develop the stomach for bold decision-making while steering procurement cases to their finality.
Views expressed are of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of the IDSA or of the Government of India