Alok Bansal

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Archive data: Person no longer works for IDSA.

Joined IDSA
September 2004 – October 2009
Expertise
South Asia, Maritime Issues, Indian Diaspora and Defence Studies
Current Project
Internal Disorders in Pakistan
Background
A naval officer with 26 years commissioned service, he has participated in the Indian Peacekeeping Operations in Sri Lanka. He has commanded two warships and has been a Directing Staff at the Defence Services Staff College, Wellington for three years.
A doctoral candidate at the School of International Studies, Jawaharlal Nehru University, he has edited two books and has published a number of research papers. He writes extensively for many Indian, Pakistani and international newspapers and websites. He has represented the Indian side in Indo-Australian and Indo-Malaysian strategic dialogues.
Select Publications
Balochistan in Turmoil: Pakistan at Crossroads, Manas Publications, 2009
“Synergising Indian Navy and the Coast Guard,” Journal of Defence Studies, Vol. 2, No. 1, Summer 2008.
“Democratisation of Maldives: A challenging Roadmap” in S.D. Muni (ed.) Asian Strategic Review 2008 (Academic Foundation, New Delhi, 2008).
“Factors leading to insurgency in Balochistan,” Small Wars & Insurgencies, Vol.19, No. 2, June 2008.
Co-editor, Pakistan Occupied Kashmir: The Untold Story (Manas Publications, New Delhi, 2007).
Co-editor, Sri Lanka: Search for Peace (Manas Publications, New Delhi, 2007).
Other Publications

Member Navy
Email: abansal[at]idsa[dot]in
Phone: +91 11 2671 7983

Publication

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Violence in Pakistan: Trend Analysis December 2008

Amidst apprehensions of a conflict between India and Pakistan after attacks on Mumbai on 26 November, as Pakistani security forces ostensibly diverted their attention from the Western to the Eastern borders, terror related violence showed an increase from 372 in November to 388 in December. Although there was no movement of troops from the Western borders to the East, Pakistani security forces allowed vast tracts of land in FATA and Swat Valley go under the control of Taliban.

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Violence in Pakistan: Trend Analysis, October 2008

The number of violent incidents in Pakistan increased from 309 in September 2008 to 346 in October 2008. Yet, casualty figures decreased from 1342 to 1081.1 This shows that Pakistan’s security forces have succeeded in controlling the level of violence, even though current levels are still unacceptably high. 582 suspected militants, most of them from the North West Frontier Province (NWFP) were also arrested by the security forces during the month, in military operations as well as during searches in various areas.

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Violence in Pakistan: Trend Analysis September 2008

Although September coincides with the holy month of Ramzan in the Islamic calendar, the violence in Pakistan during the month surpassed that in August, which itself was the most violent month. Despite the fasting and sanctity accorded to Ramzan in Islam, it is also associated with Shahadat (martyrdom) and people laying down their life during this holy month are often considered Shaheeds (martyrs). This probably explains to some extent the extremely enhanced level of violence in Pakistan during September 2008 and why various Ramzan ceasefires negotiated in August and September floundered.

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Prachanda’s Visit to India: Beginning of a New Dawn

No other recent visit to India has been so eagerly awaited as that of Pushpa Kumar Dahal, alias Prachanda, the Maoist revolutionary turned democrat and Prime Minister of ‘New Nepal’. His party received a thumping mandate from the electorate in the last elections and but for the fact that 50 per cent of the seats were to be filled up by proportional representation, it could have easily crossed the half way mark in the constituent assembly. Thus, under the existing electoral procedure, the Maoists were forced to bank on other political parties to form a government.

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Violence in Pakistan: Trend Analysis for August 2008

The recent suicide attack on Mariott Hotel in Islamabad has once again focussed international attention on Pakistan. Violence in Pakistan is now moving from the periphery to the heartland. The level of violence has been rising continuously for the last few months. Drawing upon media reports, an attempt is made here to analyse violence in Pakistan during August 2008.

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Pakistan’s New Trade Policy: A Step in the Right Direction?

At a time when Pakistan’s phenomenal economic growth of the past few years under the Musharraf regime has hit a severe road block, the country’s Trade Minister Ahmed Mukhtar, who also holds the defence portfolio, announced a new trade policy on July 18, 2008. The announcement of the new trade policy has been governed by the state of Pakistan’s economy, which has been on a downward spiral since February.

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Implications of Peace Deals in Pakistan’s Wild West

As the new political dispensation in Pakistan negotiates new deals with militants in the country’s Pakhtoon belt, it is causing consternation among its neighbours. The deals have been signed in Swat Valley, Mardan, Mohmand and Bajour Agency, and in all probability with Baitullah Mehsud the leader of ‘Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan’ in Waziristan. However, the Pakistan government would like to retain deniability vis-à-vis the last of these deals, so as not to ruffle too many feathers in the United States or Afghanistan.

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Synergising Indian Navy and the Coast Guard

Armed Forces all over the world are beginning to realise the importance of jointmanship, and accordingly enormous efforts have been made of late to promote jointmanship and bring about integration of the three armed forces in India. However, no attempt has been made to formally integrate the Coast Guard, which has also been termed as an armed force of the union, with the other forces, especially with the Indian Navy (IN).

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Pakistan’s Peace Deals with Islamic militants: Lull before the Storm

The new ANP-led provincial government in NWFP signed a peace deal with the Islamic militants of Tehrik-e-Nifaz-e-Shariat-e-Mohammadi (TNSM) led by Maulana Fazlullah, on May 21, 2008. The deal is the most significant initiative taken by the provincial government to end endemic violence that has engulfed the scenic Swat valley since last year and follows another peace deal with Maulana Sufi Mohammad, the father in law of Fazlullah and the founder of TNSM on April 20. Sufi Mohammad had founded TNSM after leaving Jamaat-e-Islami in 1992.